Formation notes: We've already given a lot of time to Purdue's banzai cover zero that they spent most of the game in. It started like this…
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…and usually went to this…
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…and Michigan was all like "I'm feeling like a light brigade, yo." Michigan didn't do anything special other than bring out the double TE set we saw briefly earlier in the year on their final drive.
Substitution notes: Huyge played almost the entire game but Dorrestein came in late for a series. He got blown up twice and Huyge returned. Shaw went out early with a concussion-type thing, leaving almost all of the snaps for Smith. Hopkins got a few and Fitzgerald Toussaint made an appearance on one fourth quarter drive. WR rotation was the usual, though Stokes returned. You are aware of the QB flipping.
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M35 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 4-wide | 1 | 0 | 4 | Base 4-3 | Pass | PA out | Roundtree | 18 | |||||||||||||||
| Purdue comes out in a two-deep with a slot LB, then moves that LB down to blitz. Michigan immediately exploits this by going at the slot receiver. Outside receiver runs off the corner, Roundtree runs a three yard out and has acres of space to pick up YAC. (CA, 3, protection 1/1) Roundtree gets some extra by making the safety whiff. RPS +1. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O47 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun trips | 1 | 0 | 4 | Nickel 4-3 | Pass | PA hitch | Roundtree | Inc | |||||||||||||||
| Exploiting the same hole in Purdue's alignment, though the safety is in a better position to hold this under first down yardage in the event of a catch. Roundtree drops it. (CA, 3, protection 1/1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O47 | 2 | 10 | Shotgun trips | 1 | 0 | 4 | Nickel 4-3 | Run | QB draw | Robinson | 11 | |||||||||||||||
| Purdue shifts the linebackers over the slot to cover the play, bringing a safety down from the other side of the field. Michigan fakes the same play and runs a draw off of it, catching Purdue out of position again. That safety drops back on the pump fake expecting pass, so when Omameh(+1) and Schilling(+1) get Robinson a lane he's got a ton of space and can just run away from the MLB. He heads outside for the first down, whereupon the corner strips the ball. Boo. RPS+1. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Schilling, Omameh | RUN-: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Fumble, 0-0, 12 min 1st Q. Magee had Purdue straight trippin' here. Unfortunate fumble. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | |||||||||||||||
| O38 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun H-back | 1 | 1 | 3 | Nickel 4-3 | Run | Zone stretch | Smith | 9 | |||||||||||||||
| Corner blitz to the playside so the linemen are slanting away from the stretch. Molk(+1) and Omameh(+1) immediately release downfield and get thumping blocks on the two MLBs. Huyge(-1) gets slanted under but Koger(+1) reads the blitz and kicks out the corner; Smith(+1) has a big lane he hits, managing to stay on his feet by falling on some detritus and grabbing a few extra yards. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Molk, Omameh, Smith | RUN-: Huyge | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O29 | 2 | 1 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Nickel 4-3 | Run | Zone stretch | Smith | 2 + 12 sax | |||||||||||||||
| Safety rolls up and the other safety is only about eight yards off the LOS. Playside DE slants under Lewan(-2) and gets right in the running lane. This is really unusual because if the DE doesn't do this successfully he's just given up the edge and a big play. This guy--not even Kerrigan--is ballin', though. (The difference between this and the picture-paged play that's similar is that Lewan's guy shoots into the backfield; in the PP play he's pushed past the action.) An excellent driving block from Molk(+1) gives Smith room to cut upfield or the first down but only just; Smith cuts and fumbles. Lewan scoops it up and picks up another chunk of yards. Just that kind of year for Purdue. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Molk | RUN-: Lewan(2) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O15 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun H-back | 1 | 1 | 3 | Nickel 4-3 | Pass | PA TE flat | Koger | 4 | |||||||||||||||
| Playside DE is unblocked and screams at Robinson. Robinson WOOPs him. This opens up the TE flat, which Robinson throws. Throw is high and wobbly and seems to delay Koger that half step that's the difference between seven yards and four. Still, with the dodge this is a good play. (CA, 3, protection N/A, RPS -1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O11 | 2 | 6 | Shotgun H-back | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 4-4 | Run | QB lead draw | Robinson | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| Late move after a check sends a safety and a nickel guy into the box for eight; obvious man zero. Nickel guy picks off Shaw and leaves a linebacker unblocked in the hole; Kerrigan stood up Lewan and comes off to tackle when Robinson is forced to cut back upfield due to the LB. Not really anyone's fault; Michigan got caught by the late Purdue check. RPS-1. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: N/A | RUN-: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O9 | 3 | 4 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 4-4 | Pass | PA rollout cross | Roundtree | 9 | |||||||||||||||
| Another late shift; Roundtree sees a safety shift as he's running his crossing route and as both those guys suck up to the threat of Denard on the edge he appears to take his route vertical as an adjustment, sticking his hand in the air as he does. Robinson sees it and flicks it to the now vastly open 'Tree for six. (CA, 3, protection 2/2, RPS +1). Good by Shaw to get a block on a ravenous Kerrigan. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Touchdown, 14-0, 4 min 1st Q. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | |||||||||||||||
| M30 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 4-4 | Run | Inside zone | Shaw | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| Another late move to an eight man front. This doesn't have to matter because the interior line appears to get decent blocks save Lewan, who allows his DE to set up in a place where he might be able to come off and tackle. We never find out because Kerrigan has destroyed Huyge(-2) and flows down the line to tackle as the cutback is forced by a charging nickelback blitz. ZR+1 as the safety came up to contain, RPS -1 for getting suckered by the late shift again. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M31 | 2 | 9 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Nickel 4-3 | Pass | Fly | Hemingway | Inc | |||||||||||||||
| Hemingway has a step or two on the DB; ball is thrown on a line and ten yards inaccurate. Turrible throw, this. (IN, 0, protection 2/2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M31 | 3 | 9 | Shotgun empty | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3-3-5 nickel | Pass | Hitch | Stonum | Inc | |||||||||||||||
| Robinson finds Stonum for first down yardage and zings it in there; Purdue has excellent coverage and hits Stonum as the ball arrives. Catchable and frustrating this was brought in but not a pure drop. (CA+, 2, protection 2/2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Punt, 14-3, 14 min 2nd Q. Purdue three and out followed by Gallon being insane, not fielding a bouncing ball at the 20, and giving up 25 yards of field position. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | |||||||||||||||
| M6 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Nickel 4-3 | Run | QB lead draw | Robinson | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| Guh. This opens up nicely as Molk(+1) gets a good seal on the playside DT as Michigan runs away from the line shift. Lewan again does not get a kick on the DE and gets driven back so that Robinson has to cut inside, but since this is a backup he can't peel to tackle like the previous guy did. So Robinson can hit it up, except for Schilling(-2) completely whiffing on the playside LB. Free release, running right at him, and took a bad angle so that he can just shoot inside. Smith tries to change direction and pick him off but can't. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Molk | RUN-: Schilling(2), Lewan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M7 | 2 | 9 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Nickel 4-3 | Pass | PA Out | Roundtree | 16 | |||||||||||||||
| Safety rolls up. Purdue does not have a guy over Roundtree and has a single high safety 11 yards off, so Michigan goes back to the stuff from the first drive and hits a wide open Roundtree for 3 yards plus epic YAC. (CA, 3, protection 1/1, RPS +1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M23 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun H-back | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 4-3 | Run | Inside zone | Smith | 6 | |||||||||||||||
| Good handoff with a contain guy coming upfield(ZR +1). Playside DE slants under Huyge(-1), forcing a cutback. There is one this time because Lewan(+1) blew Kerrigan off the LOS and the contain guy was way up on Robinson. Smith zips back behind all the blocking and is running to get outside the WLB for Purdue. He can't quite make it, a step slow. Omameh and Molk had killed the playside DT but the slant-under made it irrelevant. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Lewan, Smith, Omameh(0.5), Molk(0.5) | RUN-: Huyge | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M29 | 2 | 4 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 4-4 | Run | QB stretch | Robinson | 4 | |||||||||||||||
| Safety rolled up and the SLB basically in the box. Michigan runs right at this and away from the strength of the formation. Right side of the line does a great job of scooping the Purdue line, getting playside DE and DT sealed and popping a lineman off onto a linebacker but math means there's an extra linebacker, who tackles easily. Reminds me of Debord, this play, and pretty much only this play. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Molk, Omameh, Huyge | RUN-: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M33 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Nickel 4-3 | Run | QB power off tackle | Robinson | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| Schilling pulls around Lewan(-2), who had a downblock assignment on a DT lined up well inside of him and didn't even come close to sealing the guy away. He flows, Schilling has nowhere to go, there's no crease, and Robinson does well just to get back to the LOS. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: | RUN-: Lewan(2) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M33 | 2 | 10 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | ??? | Pass | Hitch | Hemingway | 10 | |||||||||||||||
| Purdue very late getting lined up and they are not in position as the ball is snapped. M rolls out and Robinson hits Hemingway about four yards downfield; Hemingway is taken inside by the throw and then steps outside a charging Purdue DB, who slips. Free of that guy he can pick up the first. He's huge and not that fast but he's got a knack for making yards after the catch. (CA, 3, protection 1/1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M43 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun H-back | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 4-3 | Run | Inside zone | Hopkins | 3 | |||||||||||||||
| Michigan does not have a response to this DE slanting inside as M runs against a lot of eight man fronts. If they're going cover zero M has to pass. Here Huyge gets slanted under, as does Schilling, but Schilling pushes the DT past and he trips to the ground. Webb is headed outside; Lewan is playside of the backside DE but just barely. With the contain guy one on one with Webb Robinson should pull (ZR -1), but doesn't. Hopkins has to dance around the Schilling mess and hits Lewan. He keeps his feet driving forward. Pile gets four. RPS -1. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Hopkins | RUN-: Robinson | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M46 | 2 | 7 | Shotgun H-back | 1 | 1 | 3 | Nickel 4-3 | Run | Inside zone | Hopkins | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| Purdue slants against the grain, which gets a linebacker in the hole unblocked. Hopkins sees this and cuts back, where Schilling(-1) and Lewan(-1) are ineffectively doubling a guy who slanted under Schilling. Hopkins does not have the quickness to get past the DT, who dives to tackle just as Hopkins looks like he's going to bust it into the secondary. RPS -1, ZR +1. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: | RUN-: Schilling, Lewan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M46 | 3 | 7 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 4-3 | Pass | TE seam | Webb | 29 | |||||||||||||||
| It's third and seven and Purdue has eight guys in the box. Odd. Michigan goes at the rolled up safety. Webb gets a step on him but not much more; he's well covered. Robinson drops in a gorgeous touch pass over the top of said coverage for a first down and a big gain. Ridiculously good pass. (DO, 3, protection 2/2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O25 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun H-back | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 4-3 | Run | Zone stretch | Hopkins | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| Michigan tries to scoop the playside DT here but Molk(-1) does not get enough of a push on the guy and leaves Schilling a tough task. He can't manage it. This is at least somewhat his fault, too. His DE flows down the line. Hopkins tries to cut it upfield but by the time he can do so there is literally no gap. He hits Schilling, then the DT Huyge is blocking, and squeezes through for a few yards. Great downfield block by Omameh for naught. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Omameh | RUN-: Schilling, Molk | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O24 | 2 | 9 | Shotgun 4-wide | 1 | 0 | 4 | Nickel 4-3 | Pass | Deep slant | Roundtree | 15 | |||||||||||||||
| Purdue shifts its linebackers to the RB side, expecting a PA fake and half-roll. They get it, blitzing right into Michigan's protection, slating a guy past Omameh, and generally making this play look doomed. Robinson comes off a quick out, his first read, and shoots a ball to a well covered Roundtree as he gets hit. Tree reaches up to grab it and is immediately tackled. Bad ass. (DO, 3, protection 0/3, team, Omameh 1, RPS -2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O9 | 1 | G | Shotgun H-back | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 4-3 | Run | QB lead draw | Robinson | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| Again with the slanting. This time Michigan is running the lead draw at the slant, which should be good. Playside DE runs inside Huyge and there are three linebackers on the two lead blockers and Molk. Molk is trying to double the Purdue DT and pop off; Purdue DT chucks him in the direction of his momentum and he flies by the LB. This will never be called but that seems like a penalty to me. -1, unfortunately. Two playside guys get kicked out by lead blockers and Robinson has to head inside; Huyge(-1) let the slanting DE spin off him and hammer Robinson after a minimal gain. Robinson gets 2-3 more without that even with the Molk issues. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: | RUN-: Molk, Huyge | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O8 | 2 | G | Shotgun H-back | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 4-3 | Run | QB stretch | Robinson | 3 (Pen -10) | |||||||||||||||
| Flag is iffy, as the playside DT shoots right upfield and falls with very little assistance from Molk; Molk lays on him. After that it's Schilling and Lewan doubling Kerrigan. They drive him downfield but the playside LB does a nice job to hit it up and get outside of Lewan; no hole. Robinson can't cut it back because no one tried to block the DE on the backside and he's flowing down the line in the right spot. He plows it up behind the Schilling/Lewan block for okay yardage. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O18 | 2 | G | Shotgun 4-wide | 1 | 0 | 4 | Base 4-3 | Pass | Slant | Roundtree | Int | |||||||||||||||
| Michigan runs double slants (ie, the New Math play) and both linebackers suck in on the Roundtree one, giving Robinson what should be an easy read to take Hemingway deeper. He doesn't. He fires it at Roundtree, well behind him. If accurate a LB bats it or picks it off, as it is it looks like the guy tips it slightly. Ball is still headed directly at a safety, who picks it off and returns it for a TD. GUUUURUURUURGUURUGUG. (BRX--the X is for EXTREME, 0, protection 2/2) BWS picture-paged this. I agree that there was a small window for the Roundtree slant that he came to late but he should have thrown the deep slant to Hemingway, who is wide open and the first read. The linebacker who needs to undercut the Hemingway slant is on the LOS. BRXXXXX. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Defensive TD, 14-10, 8 min 2nd Q. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | |||||||||||||||
| M20 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 2-back | 2 | 0 | 3 | Base 4-4 | Run | Power off tackle | Smith | 17 | |||||||||||||||
| Late move brings a safety into the box and M is again running against 8. This time Michigan blocks down and pulls Schilling. Kerrigan is the playside DE and responds to the down block like it's a stretch, running himself out of the play and opening up a big hole on the outside. Huyge(+1) escorted him out of the play. Hopkins kicks out the blitzing slot LB and Schilling(+1) gets a good open field block on the MLB, giving Smith a wide open lane to the outside. Roundtree(+1) doesn't actually have to block his safety but does get in the way and forces the guy to dance around, giving ground, so that Smith doesn't cut to one side of him and break into nothing but grass. No RPS plus because if the Purdue guy who's blocked by Schilling gets outside Smith has to cut up into unblocked guys. This could have been defended by Purdue but a linebacker made an error. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Huyge, Schilling, Smith, Roundtree | RUN-: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M37 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 2-back | 2 | 0 | 3 | Base 4-4 | Run | Zone stretch | Hopkins | -1 | |||||||||||||||
| They try to hit Purdue with the exact play they anticipated on the last play, and Purdue crushes it. Omameh(-1) runs by the backside DT too fast to get a scoop and Molk(-1) is blown back as well, so Hopkins has to try to cut upfield into nothing. Even if he does get a good cut the backside DE is flowing hard down the line. Eight in the box allows a safety to contain Denard and thus lets Purdue slant hard to the playside without fear of a cutback. Meanwhile Purdue's spent most of the quarter in cover zero with DBs ten yards off the outside WRs and Michigan has not run the constraint plays to get them out of this formation. Frustrating. RPS -1. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: | RUN-: Omameh, Molk, Hopkins | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M36 | 2 | 11 | Shotgun 2-back | 2 | 0 | 3 | Base 4-4 | Run | Power off tackle | Smith | 3 | |||||||||||||||
| Same play as earlier and this time Purdue is much better prepared, with the guy getting blocked by Schilling getting outside and another player hitting the hole to the inside. Smith has to bounce and bounces into a linebacker for a minimal gain. RPS -1. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: N/A | RUN-: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M36 | 3 | 8 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 4-3 | Pass | Tunnel screen | Roundtree | 7 | |||||||||||||||
| Man on the WRs with one high safety. Michigan does catch Purdue in a blitz—they send five. Four of those guys are gone as Robinson flips a screen out to Roundtree (CA, 3, screen). Molk and Schilling release downfield, with Molk(+1) picking up a block on a guy who'd gotten inside the slot receiver and Schilling running upfield with no one in particular to hit. The fifth Purdue player peels back and gets a diving ankle tackle on Roundtree that slows him and allows Purdue to get him down just short of the sticks. Great play by that guy. Robinson's throw was a little high but I don't think it materially slowed Roundtree. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M43 | 4 | 1 | I-form twins | 2 | 1 | 2 | Base 4-3? | Run | Iso | Hopkins | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| Michigan gets to the line and snaps it before the nose tackle even gets in his stance; a sneak is guaranteed. Frustrating. Even so it looks like they should get the first down except for Hopkins fumbling, which makes him slow up and allows Kerrigan, unblocked on the backside, to plow him. Purdue recovers the fumble anyway and while it's not a big deal because Michigan didn't make the fourth down, the reason they didn't make the fourth down was the fumble, so this is a real turnover. Not charted due to 'sax. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Fumble, 14-10, 6 min 2nd Q. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | |||||||||||||||
| M20 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 2-back | 2 | 0 | 3 | Base 4-4 | Pass | PA Sack | ? | -8 | |||||||||||||||
| Michigan is rolling the pocket away from a weak zone fake and Lewan(-1) hands Kerrigan off to Schilling(-2), which turns out to be a very bad idea as Kerrigan rips through the line and eats Denard. (PR, N/A, protection 0/3, Lewan -1, Schilling -2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M12 | 2 | 18 | Shotgun trips | 1 | 0 | 4 | Nickel 4-3 | Run | QB draw | Robinson | 17 | |||||||||||||||
| Omameh(+1) shoves his DT inside and with the DEs tearing upfield that gets Denard through the line. Smith(+1)is out there as a lead blocker; he picks off one linebacker. Roundtree(+1) hits another inside, providing a cutback lane. Denard(+2) runs past a charging safety and turns it up, cutting it inside when a corner eludes Grady. Corner makes a desperate diving grab at Robinson's legs that is successful at hewing him down at the sticks. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Omameh, Smith, Roundtree, Robinson(2) | RUN-: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M29 | 3 | 1 | Shotgun H-back | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 4-4 | Run | Inside zone | Smith | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| Nowhere to go as Omameh(-1) gets blasted back and the rest of the OL can only stalemate guys. Smith(+1) has an opportunity to cut back as Huyge(+1) managed to not get shoved back by Kerrigan and his aggressive crash opens up a small window. Smith is agile enough to dance through it for the yard. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M31 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun H-back | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 4-4 | Pass | Hitch | Stonum | 12 | |||||||||||||||
| Straight dropback and Robinson has forever. Michigan has max pro against a four man rush. Robinson comes off two reads to find Stonum alone about ten yards downfield. (CA, 3, protection 3/3) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M43 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Nickel 4-3 | Run | Zone stretch | Smith | 6 | |||||||||||||||
| I'm not sure if this is a concession to Kerrigan's awesome or the eighth guy in the box or a mistake, but here Huyge blocks the backside DE on a stretch, which rarely happens. Molk(+2) gets one of those killer reach blocks on the playside DT, Omameh(+1) gets his helmet across the backside guy and drives him downfield, and Schilling(+1) kicks out the playside LB. Smith has a spectacular hole it hit and does so, and if he was Mark Ingram or something maybe he runs through a tackle but he's not so the totally unblocked MLB makes a diving ankle tackle and holds this down. RPS -1? Yeah. Picture paged. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Molk(2), Omameh, Schilling | RUN-: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M49 | 2 | 4 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Nickel 4-3 | Run | QB power off tackle | Robinson | 4 (Pen -10) | |||||||||||||||
| Molk gets called for a hold or quickly popping out on the DT and grabbing him around the shoulder. A legit call, and really frustrating since Michigan was running a power off tackle and it doesn't really matter how Molk blocks this guy because he's going to have to have a hovercar to make a play here. Stupid. Robinson decides to cut it upfield because Omameh(+1) destroyed the other DT and Huyge got a block on a linebacker; Koger(-1) couldn't do much with Kerrigan and he comes off to tackle from behind, robbing M of a couple extra yards. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Omameh, Lewan | RUN-: Molk(2), Koger | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M39 | 2 | 14 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 4-4 | Pass | Rollout hitch | Hemingway | 23 | |||||||||||||||
| Still eight guys in the box for Purdue on second and long, and they pay for it. Michigan rolls the pocket and throws a quick hitch to Hemingway that pulls him inside and past a diving corner who is on an island. That guy on the ground, Hemingway can pick up the first down easily. Pass was very low and a tough grab. (MA, 2, protection N/A, RPS +1 I guess) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O38 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun H-back | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 4-4 | Run | Zone read keeper | Robinson | -6 | |||||||||||||||
| Very bad decision to keep with the slot LB lined up well inside and another LB heading backside. Robinson has nowhere to go and gets tackled for a major loss. By doing this Purdue is opening the bubble up extensively, but Michigan hasn't thrown it once. RPS -1, ZR -1. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: | RUN-: Robinson(2) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O44 | 2 | 16 | Shotgun 2-back | 2 | 0 | 3 | Base 4-4 | Run | Power veer | Shaw | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| Odd play. Line blocks down and Omameh pulls. Playside DE is left unblocked as Lewan and Molk release downfield. Molk blocks no one. Lewan erases the MLB. Smith draws the slot guy outside, leaving Omameh one on one with the last LB with the playside DE and DT, who beat Schilling(-1) really fast, in pursuit. LB does a good job to get into Omameh at the LOS and get outside and because of the pursuit Shaw doesn't really have a cut behind him; he runs at the LB and gets tackled. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: | RUN-: Schilling | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O42 | 3 | 14 | Shotgun trips | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3-2-6 dime | Pass | Fly | Hemingway | Inc | |||||||||||||||
| Lewan(-2) beaten by the non-Kerrigan DE on a three man rush and that guy hits Robinson as he throws a deep ball to Hemingway. Resulting pass is overthrown but not really Robinson's fault; Hemingway had a step on the DB but just a step. In this situation might as well throw it up. (PR, 0, protection 0/2, Lewan -2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Punt, 14-13, 40 second 2nd Q. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | |||||||||||||||
| M17 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 4-wide | 1 | 0 | 4 | Base 4-3 | Pass | PA rollout cross | Roundtree | Inc | |||||||||||||||
| Weird split in the Purdue LBs implies a slant with LBs filling behind but Michigan goes PA so we don't get to find out. Robinson rolls out, decides against a well-covered Grady circle, and tries to come back underneath to Roundtree. Pass is batted. Roundtree was covered and this could have been a good idea or a bad one. Hard to tell. (BA, 0, protection 1/1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M17 | 2 | 10 | Shotgun trips | 1 | 0 | 4 | Nickel 4-3 | Run | Hitch | Roundtree | 4 | |||||||||||||||
| Playside Purdue LB is the contain guy and maintains depth on a PA fake. Roundtree's quick hitch is open but that LB is in position to tackle immediately as Purdue adjusts to a play that had flummoxed Illinois. (CA, 3, protection 1/1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M21 | 3 | 6 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 4-3 | Pass | PA rollout hitch | Hemingway | 6 | |||||||||||||||
| Robinson rolls out as M goes max protect, comes off a deep route, and zings one to Hemingway about a yard short of the first. Hemingway catches it and turns it upfield for about seven yards but gets a terrible spot one inch short of the first down. He's well past the 32 when he goes out, but no review. Michigan could have/should have challenged, I guess, but spots never get overturned. (CA, 3, protection 2/2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Punt, 14-13, 14 min 3rd Q. Hagerup MIND LASERS get Michigan the ball right back. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | |||||||||||||||
| O32 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun H-back | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 4-4 | Run | Reverse | Grady | 13 | |||||||||||||||
| A lovely playcall that features Lewan and Webb doing jab steps and then peeling off to get blocks on backside defenders. Webb has no one to block as the backside DE screws up and doesn't read the play but Lewan(+1) takes out the WLB. Purdue's MLB reads the play and displays impressive speed to make it a question on the corner but is a step slow; Grady(+1) gets by him and heads up the sideline. Excellent block from Stonum increases the damage. (RPS +1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Lewan, Grady, Stonum | RUN-: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O19 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 2-back | 2 | 0 | 3 | Nickel 4-3 | Run | Power off tackle | Smith | 19 | |||||||||||||||
| Purdue blitzes both MLBs and moves the safety up as a cleanup guy but this is seven in the box, not eight. Purdue shifts its line one way and leaves a gaping hole between the NT and Kerrigan. Lewan(+1) and Omameh(+1) double the playside DT and destroy him. The two blitzers come free up the middle but hesitate on the mesh point in case Denard keeps; he hands it off (ZR+1). Smith gets past them and runs just past a diving Kerrigan; now he's in space with Schilling leading him. Schilling(+1) picks off the designated cleanup safety and Smith(+1) subtly cuts past the charging FS, walking into the endzone. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Robinson, Schilling, Huyge, Omameh, Smith | RUN-: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Touchdown(missed XP), 20-13, 13 min 3rd Q. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | |||||||||||||||
| M20 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 2-back | 2 | 0 | 3 | Base 4-4 | Run | Zone stretch | Smith | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| Purdue slants its line against the stretch, which means Molk has an easy time sealing the playside DT but the playside DE slants under Lewan. Lewan does okay with this, shoving him past the play, but the POA has changed and this robs Schilling of any chance to block the playside LB, who's flying into the hole. Again, I believe this is a front possible because Purdue is running eight men at six blockers. A safety in the box is outside and absorbs Hopkins, leaving no one to get the linebacker who eventually tackles. Smith almost cut past him as Lewan had done his best to make a hole outside of him; if he does that Huyge is shoving the other LB past the play and Smith could have a big gainer. RPS -1. Picture paged. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: N/A | RUN-: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M22 | 2 | 8 | Shotgun 2-back | 2 | 0 | 3 | ? | Pass | Yakety Sax | ? | -11 | |||||||||||||||
| Fumbled snap. We come to it late. Looked like the slot out was wide open, too. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M11 | 3 | 19 | Shotgun 4-wide | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3-2-6 dime | Pass | Yakety Sax | ? | Int | |||||||||||||||
| Three man rush; Kerrigan comes upfield of Huyge and forces Robinson to step up in the pocket. He does. He has to dodge the NT. He does. He finds Stonum open for the first down and throws it so high that Tacopants is like "wow, that's high." A safety picks it off. (INX--the X is for XTREME, 0, protection 1/2, Huyge -1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Interception, 20-13, 10 min 3rd Q. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | |||||||||||||||
| M18 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun trips | 1 | 1 | 3 | Nickel 4-3 | Run | Inside zone | Smith | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| Forcier in. Omameh(-0.5) and Molk(-0.5) try to double the playside DT and don't get any push or create any creases; Huyge(-0.5) gets shoved inside by the playside DE. Kerrigan beats Lewan(-1) to the inside and when Smith tries to cut back he's swallowed. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: | RUN-: Omameh, Molk, Huyge (halves), Lewan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M18 | 2 | 10 | Shotgun empty | 1 | 0 | 4 | Nickel 4-3 | Pass | Scramble | Forcier | 7 | |||||||||||||||
| First hitch is covered, Forcier comes off on a Smith slant that is also jumped, and now he's in scramble mode. He comes through the line and decides to pull it down quickly, running OOB after a decent gain. (SCR, N/A, protection 2/2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M25 | 3 | 3 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Nickel 4-3 | Pass | Flare | Smith | Inc | |||||||||||||||
| Michigan runs a snag concept and gets the flare route wide open for a massive gainer -- there is no one that can stop Smith before he runs 20 yards up the sideline… but Forcier throws it way long. Sigh. (IN, 0, protection 2/2, RPS +1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Punt, 20-16, 8 min 3rd Q. Michigan put back on the five after the penalty on Gallon for not making a fair catch signal. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | |||||||||||||||
| M5 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 4-3 | Run | QB power dive | Robinson | 8 | |||||||||||||||
| Robinson back. Michigan pulls Schilling around and attacks right upfield. Omameh(+1) crushes the playside DT off the ball. Huyge(+1) releases downfield immediately to get a linebacker and Schilling comes around to pop another linebacker and though Koger(-1) couldn't do anything with Kerrigan the good blocks from everyone else give Robinson a crease for decent yardage. Hard-filling safety takes Robinson down short of the sticks. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Omameh, Schilling, Huyge, Robinson | RUN-: Koger | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M13 | 2 | 2 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 4-3 | Run | Inside zone | Smith | 6 | |||||||||||||||
| Looks sort of like a stretch but this is an inside zone with both DTs getting doubled. Lewan(+1) kicks out the other DE like whoah and Schilling and Molk(+0.5 each) kill the playside DT so Smith has a huge gap to hit outside. He does, and is then taken down by the filling safety. Just seven in the box this time, which gave M the window to double the DTs without getting someone killed. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Lewan, Molk(0.5), Schilling(0.5) | RUN-: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M19 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Nickel 4-3 | Run | QB power dive | Robinson | 8 | |||||||||||||||
| Two deep and the slot blitz is threatened but not brought, so just six in the box. This time the playside DE slants outside; Huyge(+1) does a good job adjusting and Schilling(+0.5) takes his pull inside that block to blow the LB in the hole. Omameh(+1) also adjusted on the fly to wall off the DT threatening to slant under Molk. Robinson has a crease since there's no unblocked guy for the LB to funnel him to. Schilling's guy comes under him to make a diving tackle, so no full plus. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Omameh, Huyge, Schilling(0.5) | RUN-: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M27 | 2 | 2 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 4-4 | Run | QB stretch | Robinson | 9 | |||||||||||||||
| Back to the eight man front. Backside DT gets upfield too fast and Schilling(+1) slices him to the ground with a cut block. Playside DE drives upfield of Huyge and Molk's in a stalemate with the playside DT so the cutback lane is where it's at; Robinson(+1) hits it. Lewan(+1) gets a downfield block on an MLB caught out by the move and Robinson is one block from Koger(-1) from being set free; Koger's lame cut attempt is stepped over and his safety prevents a one-on-two matchup between the FS, Robinson, and Roundtree. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Robinson, Lewan, Schilling | RUN-: Koger | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M36 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 4-3 | Run | Midline stretch | Smith | 19 | |||||||||||||||
DT does a good job to form up and force a handoff but he's not out of the play so he can flow down the line and cut off the inside. Robinson maybe should have kept but Lewan(-1) just ran by his LB and he's sitting in the hole unblocked, too. Smith has to go outside, where a filling safety should chop him down for no gain. Smith(+3) makes a little juke, though, and runs through the tackle attempt to the outside. No one's left and he's headed for a big gain. Um, ZR+1, RPS-1. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Smith(3) | RUN-: Lewan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O45 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 4-3 | Run | QB power off tackle | Robinson | 9 | |||||||||||||||
| Playside DT gets upfield fast and is walled off by a down-blocking Lewan(+1). Webb(-1) cannot handle Kerrigan and his downblock gets powered through, but because of the DT ownage there's a big cutback lane. Molk gets out on a linebacker and gets a shove on him, allowing Robinson to hit it upfield quickly and past that guy. Aggressive safety fill holds it down. RPS +1; this was easy pickings for Lewan. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Lewan, Robinson, Molk | RUN-: Webb | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O36 | 2 | 1 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Nickel 4-3 | Run | QB stretch | Robinson | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| Michigan successfully scoops Kerrigan, getting him sealed by Schilling. Lewan moves to the second level but can't get a block on a fast-reacting Holland, who is just screaming down the line at the snap. Not really Lewan's fault, as there was no way he could help scoop Kerrigan and get out on a linebacker moving this fast. He gets a push but the guy is right in the hole and Denard can't make a move on him, going down for nothing. Kerrigan also shoved Schilling back so far that there was no cutback lane. Good play from Purdue here. RPS -1. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: N/A | RUN-: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O36 | 3 | 1 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 4-3 | Run | QB power dive | Robinson | 4 | |||||||||||||||
| Omameh(+1) crushes the playside DT and one of the PU linebackers heads outside the hole despite having help; Huyge(+1) blows up the last remaining LB and Denard has an easy four yards before the safety shows up. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Omameh, Huyge | RUN-: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O32 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 4-3 | Run | Midline stretch | Smith | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| Smith(-2) misses a cut here. Lewan's guy has set up outside two yards deep and the angle he has to take outside assures that he'll get run down. Inside he's got a shot if he cuts back hard because Molk's guy flowed down the line and the linebackers have gone to the frontside; the DT probably can't run him down. Koger lost Kerrigan again and he might tackle, but that would be from the side two yards downfield. ZR+1. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: | RUN-: Smith(2) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O30 | 2 | 8 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 4-4 | Run | QB stretch | Robinson | -2 (Pen -15) | |||||||||||||||
| Kerrigan does not get scooped here; Huyge(-1) and Omameh(-1) can't handle him. He fights playside and as he does so falls, taking out Huyge accidentally from behind. Slot LB hits Smith in the backfield and stands him up; nowhere to go as Michigan gets swarmed. (RPS -1) Lewan get a meaningless clip on the backside for cutting a guy, but I don't really blame him. The guy falls awkwardly but what's he supposed to do when his job is to cut the backside DT two seconds after the snap? | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: | RUN-: Huyge, Omameh | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O45 | 2 | 23 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 4-4 | Pass | Fly | Stonum | Inc | |||||||||||||||
| Fly route is covered well but he's got room long and outside; ball is short and inside. Stonum gets a super bonus facemask call, too. (IN, 0, protection 2/2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O45 | 3 | 23 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3-2-6 dime | Pass | Sack | ? | ||||||||||||||||
| Come on, it's third and twenty three and you've got max pro against three rushers and you somehow let Kerrigan go single blocked? Fail. (PR, N/A, protection 0/3, team -1, Huyge -2, RPS -1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Fumble, 20-16, 2 min 3rd Q. Sigh. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | |||||||||||||||
| O41 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 2-back | 2 | 0 | 3 | Base 4-4 | Run | Zone read stretch | Hopkins | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| Forcier back. Molk(+1) gets an easy seal as the Purdue DT is headed upfield. This should be good but frickin' Kerrigan is occupying both Omameh(-1) and Huyge(-1), driving them back, cutting off the outside, and preventing either from getting a second level block. Huyge eventually releases but he's to the outside and two Purdue linebackers are inside; no chance. Hopkins makes the right cut. Schilling couldn't get much more than a delay on one LB and the other guy is totally free so Michigan picks up little. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Molk | RUN-: Omameh, Huyge | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O39 | 2 | 8 | Shotgun 2-back | 2 | 0 | 3 | Base 4-4 | Pass | Fade | Hemingway | 18 | |||||||||||||||
| Gah, this is finally M looking to take advantage of the overly aggressive Purdue D by throwing curl/flat at the two guys to the twins side. Flat is wide open for an easy first but Forcier's like eff it and throws a fade route to Hemingway. He's got like five yards to the outside so Forcier hangs it up a little short and out there and Hemingway adjusts to grab the ball at the sidelines. Intentional given the weather? Maybe! Results based charting. (DO, 3, protection 2/2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O21 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun H-back | 1 | 1 | 3 | Nickel 4-3 | Run | Zone read keeper | Forcier | -4 | |||||||||||||||
| This ends up looking like midline but I don't think it is. Purdue puts six in the box with one guy a standup DE. They slant hard away from the playside, and Forcier(ZR -1) sees a big gap between Lewan(+1), who adjusted to kick out a slanting DE, and Schilling. He keeps. It doesn't matter because Huyge(-1) and Omameh(-1) got split by Kerrigan, who eats souls as per usual. Baited into the keeper, as the handoff was right. RPS -1. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O25 | 2 | 14 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Nickel 4-3 | Pass | Fly | Hemingway | Inc | |||||||||||||||
| Excellent coverage on a quick fly route; Forcier puts it away from the DB but this is also away from the WR. (MA, 1, protection 2/2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O25 | 3 | 14 | Shotgun empty | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3-2-6 dime | Pass | Improv | Hemingway | Inc | |||||||||||||||
| Forcier's first read is covered and then Kerrigan comes through Huyge(-2) despite this being another three man rush. Forcier scrambles out, pumps, has no one, and tries a desperate heave to Hemingway that's almost intercepted. (BR, 0, protection 0/2, Huyge -2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Missed FG(42), 20-16, 14 min 4th Q. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | |||||||||||||||
| M24 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 2-back | 2 | 0 | 3 | Base 4-4 | Run | Power off tackle | Smith | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| Kerrigan crushes Huyge(-2) back, which cuts Schilling off on his pull. Extra guy in the box means there are now two Purdue player unblocked; tackle is inevitable. (RPS -1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M24 | 2 | 10 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 4-3 | Run | QB lead draw | Robinson | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| Purdue all over this, getting a linebacker past Smith(-1) to make a tackle at the LOS; Robinson falls forward. RPS -1. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M26 | 3 | 8 | Shotgun 4-wide | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3-2-6 dime | Pass | Sack | ? | -1 | |||||||||||||||
| I'm seriously like not so much: third and eight and they're running the PA fake that pulls Schilling around and leaves Kerrigan unblocked until he gets out there. That's a lot of ground to give against a beast. Robinson steps up but heads outside, failing to read the stunt of the DT that means he should shoot upfield and scramble. He rolls himself into trouble since no one is open and when he does try to scramble he slips; Kerrigan eats him. (TA, N/A, protection 1/2, Schilling -1, RPS -1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Punt, 20-16, 10 min 4th Q. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | |||||||||||||||
| O36 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 2-back | 2 | 0 | 3 | Base 4-4 | Pass | Scramble | Forcier | 4 | |||||||||||||||
| Forcier in. Michigan goes max protect and gets Forcier a ton of time. He can't find anyone and decides to scramble out of the pocket. Still no one so he runs for a decent gain. Borderline TA/ SCR. (SCR, N/A, protection 2/2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O32 | 2 | 6 | Shotgun 2-back | 2 | 0 | 3 | Base 4-3 | Run | Zone stretch | Hopkins | -2 | |||||||||||||||
| Purdue slants under again, this time using a corner blitz as the contain guy to create another eight man front despite showing two deep. Dorrestein(-2) has checked in and completely loses Kerrigan to the inside; Molk(-1) and Schilling combine to not block the playside DT, and Omameh(-1) whiffs on a linebacker so Hopkins just gets swarmed. RPS –1. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: | RUN-: Dorrestein(2), Molk, Omameh, Schilling | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O34 | 3 | 8 | Shotgun 4-wide | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3-2-6 dime | Pass | Sack | ? | -4 | |||||||||||||||
| Again a three man rush and Kerrigan obliterates Dorrestein(-2), coming around from the edge to get a very BG sack on Forcier. Forcier fumbles, two Purdue guys fail to dive on it, and Hopkins eventually gets it back. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Punt, 20-16, 8 min 4th Q. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | |||||||||||||||
| O49 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 2H | 1 | 2 | 2 | Base 4-4 | Run | Inside zone | Smith | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| With bonus overhang safety for essentially a nine man front(!). Michigan doubles the playside DT and drives him back (0.5 Schilling, Molk); Omameh(-1) loses the backside guy to the inside. Smith(-1) should probably cut back and hug the backs of his OL for a decent gain but misses it and heads to the frontside, where Lewan(-0.5) did not get a good kick and there is a constricted hole. Purdue LB screwup allows Koger to hit Omameh's guy but the outside contain guy was able to hop inside Webb because of Lewan's iffy block, where he tackles with help from the DE spinning inside. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Molk(0.5), Schilling(0.5) | RUN-: Omameh, Smith, Lewan(0.5) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O48 | 2 | 9 | Shotgun 2H | 1 | 2 | 2 | Base 4-5 | Run | Zone counter | Smith | 3 | |||||||||||||||
| Designed cutback sees Omameh(+1) engage and blow up the backside DT, shoving him way out of the hole. Webb(+1) comes across to kick out Kerrigan effectively and there's a big hole. Huyge blocks a linebacker that Schilling couldn't get to because the Omameh block actually got in his way, leaving two guys to tackle Smith after a modest gain. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Omameh, Webb | RUN-: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O45 | 3 | 6 | Shotgun 2H | 1 | 2 | 2 | Base 4-4 | Pass | PA rollout TE seam | Koger | 24 | |||||||||||||||
| Hey, finally. Michigan pairs the usual PA rollout TE-flat thing with Koger going vertical against a nine-man box and four Boiler linebacker type objects run at Denard on the edge with zero trying to cover Koger. Robinson tosses an ugly underthrown duck that still sees Koger make the catch five yards clear of any Purdue player; he turns it up for a first down and more. CA because in the situation you really really just want the completion and erring on the safe side is correct. (CA, 3, protection N/A, RPS +2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O21 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 2H | 1 | 2 | 2 | Base 4-4 | Run | QB lead draw | Robinson | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| Smith heads out of the backfield before the snap, pulling the overhang safety. Robinson looks over there but that's a decoy as he runs upfield. This is well blocked and should get a chunk of yards but for Schilling(-2) letting the DT lined up outside of him inside; this is not a tough block and it wasn't made. Molk(+1) and Omameh(+1) doubled the playside guy, got him way off the LOS, and then Omameh peeled to pick off a linebacker; Webb(+1) bashed another one, and this is good for a bunch but for the DT flowing down the line and forcing Robinson into Kerrigan. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Omameh, Molk, Webb | RUN-: Schilling(2) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O19 | 2 | 8 | Shotgun 2H | 1 | 2 | 2 | Base 4-3 | Run | Inside zone | Smith | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| Purdue backs out a tiny bit with both safeties about eight yards off the LOS, so technically a seven man box but those safeties are in run mode still. Purdue shoots a DT directly upfield past Schilling(-1) and Lewan(-1) right into the path of the play and kills Smith at the LOS. RPS -1. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: | RUN-: Lewan, Schilling | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O19 | 3 | 8 | Shotgun 2H | 1 | 2 | 2 | Base 4-3 | Run | QB stretch | Robinson | 10 | |||||||||||||||
| Same deal with the safeties. Molk(+1) gets across the playside DT but eventually releases him because he's expecting that Michigan will scoop him; Schilling is well behind the guy and so this just releases him. Kerrigan's shot upfield quickly, which takes out two blockers but also opens up room outside. Robinson cuts out there, getting a bump from Webb(+1) on the two DTs coming from the inside. Molk(+1 again) has gotten a great open field block on a linebacker as Omameh(+1) crushes another one to the sideline. Smith(+1) hits the safety and Robinson weaves through everything to pick up a huge first down. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Molk(2), Robinson, Smith, Omameh, Webb | RUN-: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O9 | 1 | G | Shotgun 2H | 1 | 2 | 2 | Base 4-3 | Run | Inside zone | Smith | 3 | |||||||||||||||
| Molk and Schilling double one DT, getting decent but not great movement(+0.5 each). Schilling pops off to cut off a guy blitzing through the B gap. The other DT steps outside so Omameh releases and Huyge(-1) can't get across him as he's passed off. Omameh gets downfield to block a guy and does okay; DT slides under to tackle after a decent gain. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Molk(0.5), Schilling(0.5) | RUN-: Huyge | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O6 | 2 | G | Shotgun 2H | 1 | 2 | 2 | Base 4-3 | Run | QB stretch | Robinson | 4 | |||||||||||||||
| Kerrigan slides inside presnap and in doing so likely tips Omameh(+1) as to his intent; he slides inside on the snap and Omameh seals him. Schilling's trying to block the other guy and actually hits Kerrigan in such a way that he can use the momentum to spin past Omameh's block. Playside LB shoots outside, taking out both Huyge and Koger; Robinson hits the gap but maybe a little too fast because Webb is next to him. This allows a linebacker to attack unblocked; he tackles but a slight shimmy from Robinson(+1) gets him 2-3 extra yards. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Omameh, Robinson | RUN-: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O2 | 3 | G | Shotgun 2H | 1 | 2 | 2 | Base 4-4 | Run | Inside zone | Hopkins | 3 | |||||||||||||||
| Plowing forward here. Lewan kicks out Kerrigan as all four other linemen head straight upfield. Molk and Schilling(+1 each) batter a DT into the endzone. The other DT stunts outside. Omameh(+1) plugs the guy moving into the vacated space; a linebacker tries to shoot the gap between the DT block and Omameh and can't because there's not enough room; he trips to the ground, and Hopkins just has to run up the back of the crushed DT for an easy touchdown. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Touchdown, 27-16, 1 min 4th Q. Functional EOG. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
This definitely didn't mean anything.
Why so?
Because it hurts my heart.
Ah so. It wasn't that bad considering, you know.
Considering what? 27 points against Purdue? I had to go to the doctor. I have an EKG. The doctor comes up to me and says I'm looking at your—
CHART!
Damn you.
Chart.
DENARD ROBINSON
| Opponent | DO | CA | MA | IN | BR | TA | BA | PR | SCR | ZR | DSR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009, All Of It | 1 | 7 | 6(2) | 3(1) | 4 | 4 | - | - | ? | - | 44% |
| UConn | 2 | 15(6) | - | - | 3 | 2 | - | - | 2 | - | 68% |
| Notre Dame | 3 | 25(8) | 3(1) | 4 | 1 | - | 4(1) | 2 | - | - | 71% |
| UMass | 4 | 10(3) | - | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | - | - | 73% |
| BGSU | 1 | 4(1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1/1 | N/A |
| Indiana | 2 | 8(2) | 1(1) | 5(1) | - | - | - | - | - | 9/11 | 66% |
| Michigan State | 4 | 14(3) | 1 | 7(1) | 1 | - | - | 2 | 2 | N/A | 68% |
| Iowa | 1 | 11(3) | 2 | 3(1) | 2 | - | 1 | - | - | 3/4 | 64% |
| Penn State | 3 | 12(3) | 1 | 4 | 2 | - | 1 | - | - | 6/10 | 63% |
| Illinois | 4 | 9(1) | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1(1) | - | - | 3/4 | 60% |
| Purdue | 2 | 12(1) | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | 8/10 | 68% |
TATE FORCIER
| Opponent | DO | CA | MA | IN | BR | TA | BA | PR | SCR | ZR | DSR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa | 3 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - | - | 1 | 1 | N/A | 74% |
| Illinois | 2 | 11 | - | - | 2 | 3 | - | - | 1 | 3/4 | 72% |
| Purdue | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | 2 | N/A | N/A |
Robinson wasn't bad overall but when he was bad he was disastrously so. He's got one IN and one BR but those were full on Brawndo INX and BRX—THE X IS FOR XTREME—passes, the two brutal interceptions that led directly to 10 of Purdue's 16 points. Both came in long yardage situations where Purdue was actually playing pass defense and both had open receivers. On the pick six Robinson came off his first read, an open deep slant by Hemingway, in favor of Roundtree underneath and did that thing we talked about last week where he throws a ball to the right spot a second too late. This time it was a smaller window and a later throw so a linebacker got a finger on it and a safety looked like the intended recipient. On the other interception he had to scramble around because Kerrigan was set loose on a play where Michigan went max protect against a three man rush*, this time found Stonum for first down yardage, and zinged it five feet above his head. It was the most Tacopants throw of the year for him.
The frustrating thing about that first interception are the two passes that preceded it. One was the beautiful touch lob for Webb:
Two was a second-read zinger to Roundtree with three guys in his face:
Wow! Wow! Wow, but in the totally opposite sense!
*(This happened like three times and every time I got so mad but if you go back to last year, how many times did Brandon Graham do that exact same thing? A dozen, probably. So this is not a thing unique to M. You can threaten blitz and get your beastly DE singled up without rushing more than three.)
So you're saying…
Not much. I don't put a ton of stock into the second interception since that's not the kind of thing we've seen from him and it was likely a rain thing. The second one was a pattern last week and now it killed a scoring drive and is a level two pattern with extra hitpoints.
Other persons of interest?
The receivers came back to boring after a schizophrenic game against Illinois:
| This Game | Totals | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Stonum | - | - | 0/1 | 1/1 | 9 | 2/7 | 7/12 | 19/19 | |
| Odoms | : ( | - | - | - | 1 | 1/1 | 3/4 | 11/11 | |
| Hemingway | 3 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 3/3 | 7 | 3/4 | 4/6 | 22/26 | |
| Stokes | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1/2 | - | |
| Roundtree | 1 | - | - | 5/6 | 11 | 2/3 | 5/8 | 31/34 | |
| Grady | - | - | - | - | 4 | 1/1 | 3/3 | 8/9 | |
| T. Robinson | - | - | - | - | - | 0/1 | - | 2/3 | |
| Gallon | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | 4/4 | |
| Koger | - | - | - | 2/2 | - | - | 2/3 | 9/9 | |
| Webb | - | - | - | 1/1 | 2 | - | - | 4/5 | |
| Smith | 1 | - | - | - | 3 | - | 0/2 | 12/12 | |
| Shaw | - | - | - | - | 1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 5/6 | |
| McColgan | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1/1 | |
| Hopkins | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
| Toussaint | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
Just one drop, that on Michigan's first drive when it was dry, and few opportunities for anything magical. For the second week straight Hemingway displayed a crazy knack for breaking tackles and picking up YAC despite being built like a dump truck, and that was about the only interesting thing that happened to the receivers.
Okay, so the passing game sucked—weather, etc. But what about the runs?
Earlier in the week I said Michigan averaged 4.3 YPC once you take out sacks, but I forgot to take out Lewan's 11 yard fumble fun run and I think I divided by the wrong denominator, so your new baseline to ballpark the overall effectiveness of these metrics is 4.0 YPC. That's not good. The NCAA average is 4.3 before you take out sacks. When you do, the average jumps to 4.9. That's optimistic for any individual game since those numbers take cupcakes into account and… oh let's just save ourselves a bunch of time and point out that Michigan's run performance against Purdue was two points better than an average team. I'm still calibrating this metric but I'd like it to correspond to that number, so we should see Michigan come out only slightly above average on… er… average.
To the--
Chart!
Chart.
| Offensive Line | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | + | - | T | Notes |
| Huyge | 7 | 10.5 | -3.5 | Major problems with Kerrigan, and some with the other DE. |
| Lewan | 8 | 9.5 | -1.5 | Had serious issues with the slanting. Also Kerrigan. |
| Schilling | 8 | 9 | -1 | Usually had the much tougher matchup against Short. |
| Molk | 15 | 6.5 | 8.5 | Another series of good reach blocks but some were easy because of the Purdue calls. |
| Omameh | 16.5 | 7.5 | 9 | Thought he did well as Purdue played into his strengths by giving him releases much of the day |
| Khoury | - | - | - | DNP |
| Dorrestein | - | 2 | -2 | Kerrigan. |
| Webb | 3 | 1 | 2 | The usual |
| Koger | 1 | 3 | -2 | Also the usual. |
| TOTAL | 58.5 | 49 | 9.5 | Worst day o the year by a considerable—OH GOD NOT KERRIGA— |
| Backs | ||||
| Player | + | - | T | Notes |
| Robinson | 7 | 1 | 6 | Limited opportunities to actually make yards, but made them.. |
| Gardner | - | - | - | DNP |
| Forcier | - | - | - | Didn't score here. |
| Shaw | - | - | - | Left early. |
| Smith | 9 | 4 | 5 | Another good day but man I wish he broke more tackles. |
| Cox | - | - | - | DNP |
| Toussaint | - | - | - | Like three snaps. |
| Hopkins | 1 | 1 | 0 | Limited by footing. |
| McColgan | - | - | - | DNP. |
| Jones | - | - | - | DNP |
| TOTAL | 17 | 6 | 11 | Somewhat quiet day because opportunities were rarer due to blocking whatnot. |
| Receivers | ||||
| Player | + | - | T | Notes |
| Stonum | 1 | - | 1 | -- |
| Odoms | - | - | - | -- |
| TRobinson | - | - | - | -- |
| Roundtree | 1 | - | 1 | Throw this man a screen? |
| Grady | 1 | - | 1 | -- |
| Gallon | - | - | - | -- |
| Hemingway | - | - | - | -- |
| TOTAL | 3 | - | 3 | -- |
| Metrics | ||||
The other bit that needs to show up here to get the full picture is Rock Paper Scissors, which I had at 9 – 21 = –12. That's a really, really big, bad number. I said earlier in the week it's because Michigan kept hurling itself at cover zero overloaded boxes. I get why it happened, but it happened.
So… that seems about right from a holistic standpoint. OL slightly positive but essentially a stalemate, positive but not outstanding day from the tailbacks, poor/restricted playcalling drives the YPC down.
Individually, I don't have to explain what happened to the tackles. His name is Ryan Kerrigan and he is 2010 Brandon Graham and he's a holy lock for this blog's completely symbolic and meaningless DPOY award. Jesus. Ryan Kerrigan. On the interior, I think that's because Purdue usually undershifted its line and left Omameh free to head downfield and pop guys, which he's good at; in other instances he got to double the freshman NT as Schilling tried to cope with a very good three-tech in Kawaan Short.
So are we getting back to preseason Vincent Smith excitement levels?
I'm always going to wish he was faster or bigger so he could break more tackles, and before the season I thought he was faster, so no. I am getting behind him as a consistent contributor as a third-down guy and change of pace back even after Dee Hart arrives to make the Michigan backfield a crowded place. He made about 30 yards on his own against Purdue, getting tough yards inside a couple times and delivering two subtle hesitation moves that slid him past defenders, turning zero yards into 20 and ten into a touchdown. If Michigan goes away from running back by committee in the next two years it won't be because he's locked down all the carries, but he's a reason that's not likely to happen.
Heroes?
Smith, for chugging along in terrible conditions. Molk for being Michigan's most consistent lineman.
Goats?
Considerably mitigated by their opponent but both tackles got worked. Robinson had three crippling turnovers on a day when he didn't make up for it in other ways.
What does it mean for Wisconsin and beyond?
If the Badgers go with eight in the box and it rains they're not going anywhere.
But seriously folks, JJ Watt is probably the other DE who ends up first team All Big Ten despite the existence of Adrian Clayborn and if he does what Kerrigan did, Michigan is in trouble. If he does half of what Kerrigan did Michigan is in trouble. Hopefully the field conditions had something to do with Michigan's struggles—we did see a Huyge/Lewan tag team mostly erase Clayborn—and they will bounce back Saturday. This is only a possibility.
Denard has to stop turning the ball over. This is analysis that could come from Chris Martin, but seriously at this point the main problem with the Michigan offense is Denard fumbling and throwing picks. At this point you have to expect at least one turnover from him a game. This isn't something that's likely to get fixed in the next two weeks. True sophomore and all that.
side note: 10k words again.